← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Kevin Bonacina, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Pescara win | 26% | 3.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Pescara +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Fabio Abiuso · Carrarese |
| 5' | 🟨 | Andrea Oliveri · Pescara |
| 29' | 🟨 | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gaetano Letizia · Pescara |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luis Hasa · Carrarese |
| 51' | ⚽ | Luis Hasa · Carrarese |
| 74' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Meazzi · Pescara |
| 88' | ⚽ | Antonio Di Nardo · Pescara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 78.00 | 656.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1325.92 | 1474.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.13 | 8.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 12.91 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |