← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Antonio Rapuano, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 36% | 2.62 |
| AC Monza win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| AC Monza +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.69 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Keita Baldé · AC Monza |
| 34' | 🟨 | Ilias Koutsoupias · Frosinone Calcio |
| 38' | ⚽ | Keita Baldé · AC Monza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · AC Monza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kevin Zeroli · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 78.00 | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1526.09 | 1523.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.52 | -10.84 |
| eye test v1 | 1.19 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| league points | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 23.50 | 28.63 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.37 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |