← Serie B 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 17, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Marco Di Bello, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.85 |
| Sampdoria win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Sampdoria +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Alessandro Debenedetti · Virtus Entella |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrea Franzoni · Virtus Entella |
| 48' | 🟨 | Oliver Abildgaard · Sampdoria |
| 70' | 🟨 | Marco Nichetti · Virtus Entella |
| 74' | 🟨 | Alessandro Debenedetti · Virtus Entella |
| 81' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 83' | ⚽ | Andrea Tiritiello · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Dalla Vecchia · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale |
| coach days | 108.00 | 77.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1288.50 | 1425.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.18 | -3.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.80 |
| league points | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 12.04 | 12.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |