← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 5, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Luca Pairetto, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.32 |
| Pescara win | 21% | 4.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Pescara −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Stipe Vulikić · Sampdoria |
| 44' | ⚽ | Andrea Oliveri · Pescara |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 59' | 🟨 | Alessandro Pio Riccio · Sampdoria |
| 63' | ⚽ | Simone Pafundi · Sampdoria |
| 66' | ⚽ | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 70' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Pescara |
| 90' | 🟥 | Riccardo Brosco · Pescara |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nicholas Ioannou · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 65.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1415.07 | 1336.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.67 | 24.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.86 | 3.86 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |