← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Paride Tremolada, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese win | 38% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Juve Stabia win | 31% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 45% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
| 25' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Juve Stabia |
| 38' | 🟨 | Devid Eugene Bouah · Carrarese |
| 57' | 🟨 | Nicola Mosti · Juve Stabia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marco Imperiale · Carrarese |
| 77' | ⚽ | Luis Hasa · Carrarese |
| 86' | ⚽ | Simone Zanon · Carrarese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Leone · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giacomo De Pieri · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| coach days | 643.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1457.85 | 1492.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.63 | 26.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 4.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |