← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 23% | 4.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Mattia Compagnon · Venezia FC |
| 15' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Palmisani · Frosinone Calcio |
| 16' | ⚽ | John Yeboah · Venezia FC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Frosinone Calcio |
| 35' | 🟨 | Marin Šverko · Venezia FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 53' | ⚽ | Antonio Casas · Venezia FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Antonio Casas · Venezia FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ilario Monterisi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 84' | 🟨 | Matteo Cichella · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 29 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 95.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1555.17 | 1525.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.62 | 38.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.80 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.84 |
| league points | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 3.77 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.35 | -1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |