← Serie B 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 26, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Catanzaro win | 31% | 3.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Catanzaro +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Fabio Maistro · Juve Stabia |
| 19' | 🟨 | Davide Bettella · Catanzaro |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Juve Stabia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Alessio Cacciamani · Juve Stabia |
| 30' | 🟨 | Matias Antonini · Catanzaro |
| 36' | 🟨 | Christian Pierobon · Juve Stabia |
| 44' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Carissoni · Juve Stabia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessio Cacciamani · Juve Stabia |
| 45' | 🟥 | Alessio Cacciamani · Juve Stabia |
| 53' | ⚽ | Bruno Verrengia · Catanzaro |
| 64' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| Rareș Cătălin Burnete · Juve Stabia |
| 71' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 72' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Carissoni · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Piscopo · Juve Stabia |
| coach days | 87.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1492.06 | 1484.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.61 | 4.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.46 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |