← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 21, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Marco Di Bello, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Pescara win | 31% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara +0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Empoli +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.72 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Empoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Riccardo Capellini · Pescara |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gabriele Guarino · Empoli |
| 68' | ⚽ | Andrea Oliveri · Pescara |
| 71' | ⚽ | Andrea Oliveri · Pescara |
| 80' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Meazzi · Pescara |
| 90' | ⚽ | Davide Merola · Pescara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1311.87 | 1539.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.97 | -9.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.80 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | -1.20 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |