← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Luca Massimi, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 45% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Juve Stabia win | 24% | 4.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.5 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Spezia −0.5 | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.54 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Omar Correia · Juve Stabia |
| 19' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Carissoni · Juve Stabia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Christian Pierobon · Juve Stabia |
| 59' | ⚽ | Edoardo Soleri · Spezia |
| 61' | ⚽ | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Omar Correia · Juve Stabia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marco Ruggero · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 25 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 50.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1532.84 | 1464.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.64 | -5.08 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.81 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |