← Serie B 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrea Zanotti, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Sudtirol win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 46% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | Giacomo Calò · Frosinone Calcio |
| 30' | ⚽ | Farès Ghedjemis · Frosinone Calcio |
| 72' | ⚽ | Jacopo Martini · Sudtirol |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gabriele Calvani · Frosinone Calcio |
| 78' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Frosinone Calcio |
| 78' | 🟨 | Simone Davì · Sudtirol |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 79' | 🟨 | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 49.00 | 292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1498.99 | 1465.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.82 | -0.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 1.00 | 0.68 |
| league points | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 38.00 |
| rest days | 6.17 | 5.07 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -1.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -1.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |