← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Turrini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Virtus Entella win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Gianluca Frabotta · Cesena |
| 37' | 🟨 | Andrea Tiritiello · Virtus Entella |
| 44' | 🟨 | Tommaso Berti · Cesena |
| 64' | 🟨 | Francesco Mezzoni · Virtus Entella |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Virtus Entella |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristian Shpendi · Cesena |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrea Franzoni · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 29.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1487.72 | 1295.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.73 | -24.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 48.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.61 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.08 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 27.76 |
| state index | 0.23 | -1.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |