← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Mucera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mantova win | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Pescara win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara −0.5 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Mantova −0.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Leonardo Mancuso · Mantova |
| 44' | 🟨 | Nicolò Radaelli · Mantova |
| 48' | 🟨 | Andrea Oliveri · Pescara |
| 51' | 🟨 | Valerio Mantovani · Mantova |
| 52' | 🟨 | Leonardo Mancuso · Mantova |
| 54' | ⚽ (og) | Marco Festa · Pescara |
| 68' | 🟨 | Cristiano Bani · Mantova |
| 86' | ⚽ | Antonio Fiori · Mantova |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriele Corbo · Pescara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 24 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mantova | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| venue | Stadio Danilo Martelli |
| coach days | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1441.01 | 1311.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.66 | -35.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 89.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 7.94 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.93 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.07 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.27 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |