← Serie B 2024-25 · Tue, May 13, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.75 |
| Cosenza win | 10% | 10.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −1.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Spezia −1.75 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Salvatore Elia · Spezia |
| 29' | ⚽ | Rachid Kouda · Spezia |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
| 48' | ⚽ | Gabriele Artistico · Cosenza |
| 53' | 🟨 | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Spezia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 22 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days |
| 559.00 |
| 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1536.03 | 1363.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.20 | -15.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| league points | 63.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |