← Serie B 2024-25 · Tue, May 13, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Perri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 65% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.76 |
| Carrarese win | 15% | 6.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese −1.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Palermo −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Dimitris Nikolaou · Palermo |
| 16' | ⚽ | Stiven Shpendi · Carrarese |
| 21' | 🟨 | Gabriele Guarino · Carrarese |
| 53' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · Palermo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Gabriele Guarino · Carrarese |
| 57' | 🟥 | Gabriele Guarino · Carrarese |
| 68' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Palermo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jérémy Le Douaron · Palermo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Julián Illanes · Carrarese |
| 86' | ⚽ | Jérémy Le Douaron · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 26 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days |
| 346.00 |
| 498.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1512.17 | 1444.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.90 | 3.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.00 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 51.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |