← Serie B 2024-25 · Tue, May 13, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Cittadella win | 29% | 3.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Salernitana +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Francesco Amatucci · Cittadella |
| 11' | ⚽ | Ajdin Hrustić · Salernitana |
| 64' | 🟨 | Oliver Christensen · Salernitana |
| 75' | ⚽ | Simy · Salernitana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ajdin Hrustić · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days |
| 224.00 |
| 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1390.02 | 1418.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.03 | 19.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| league points | 40.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |