← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, May 9, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Cremonese win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Cremonese +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Tommaso Barbieri · Cremonese |
| 17' | ⚽ | Paulo Azzi · Cremonese |
| 26' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 31' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Spezia |
| 31' | 🟨 | Tommaso Barbieri · Cremonese |
| 33' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jari Vandeputte · Cremonese |
| 50' | 🟨 | Charles Pickel · Cremonese |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 59' | 🟥 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 69' | ⚽ | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Gianluca Lapadula · Spezia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days |
| 555.00 |
| 189.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1547.30 | 1563.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.44 | 10.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| league points | 63.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |