← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, May 9, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Salernitana win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Melle Meulensteen · Sampdoria |
| 47' | 🟨 | Alberto Cerri · Salernitana |
| 73' | 🟨 | Melle Meulensteen · Sampdoria |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alessio Cragno · Sampdoria |
| 81' | 🟨 | Leonardo Benedetti · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | M'Baye Niang · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days |
| 38.00 |
| 38.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1436.94 | 1426.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.09 | 20.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 37.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |