← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, May 9, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 39% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Sudtirol win | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Alessandro Mallamo · Sudtirol |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Gabriele Gori · Sudtirol |
| 39' | ⚽ | Alexander Lind · Pisa |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jacopo Martini · Sudtirol |
| 59' | 🟨 | Olimpiu Moruțan · Pisa |
| 67' | ⚽ | Nicola Pietrangeli · Sudtirol |
| 69' | 🟨 | Adrian Rus · Pisa |
| 78' | ⚽ | Leonardo Sernicola · Pisa |
| 84' | 🟨 | Henrik Wendel Meister · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Niklas Pyyhtiä · Sudtirol |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adrian Rus · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days |
| 312.00 |
| 159.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1569.06 | 1466.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.91 | 23.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| league points | 70.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 61.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -2.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |