← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, May 9, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Cittadella win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Cittadella +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 31' | ⚽ | Andrea Favilli · Bari |
| 47' | ⚽ | Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
| 55' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
| 59' | 🟨 | Andrea Favilli · Bari |
| 66' | ⚽ | Riccardo Palmieri · Cittadella |
| 67' | 🟨 | Riccardo Palmieri · Cittadella |
| 81' | ⚽ | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gastón Pereiro · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days |
| 220.00 |
| 342.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1373.22 | 1475.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.27 | 0.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.46 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| league points | 37.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |