← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Cosenza win | 19% | 5.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Sudtirol −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Hamza El Kaouakibi · Sudtirol |
| 6' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · Sudtirol |
| 14' | 🟨 | Matteo Rover · Sudtirol |
| 18' | ⚽ | Simone Mazzocchi · Cosenza |
| 43' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Salvatore Molina · Sudtirol |
| 56' | 🟨 | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 59' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 60' | 🟥 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 68' | ⚽ | Simone Davì · Sudtirol |
| 71' | 🟨 | Raphael Kofler · Sudtirol |
| 77' | 🟨 | Gabriele Artistico · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriele Gori · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days |
| 154.00 |
| 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 4.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1460.60 | 1378.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.48 | -7.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| league points | 41.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.35 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.82 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |