← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Guida
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 42% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Reggiana win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia +0.25 | 50% | 1.92 |
| Reggiana +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
| 15' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Spezia |
| 29' | 🟨 | Salvatore Elia · Spezia |
| 40' | ⚽ | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 51' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alessandro Sersanti · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days |
| 64.00 |
| 550.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 4.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1404.25 | 1559.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.35 | -1.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |