← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Cittadella win | 19% | 5.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Ambrosino · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Francesco Amatucci · Cittadella |
| 57' | 🟨 | Riccardo Palmieri · Cittadella |
| 60' | 🟨 | Edoardo Masciangelo · Cittadella |
| 73' | ⚽ | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 88' | 🟨 | Andrea Tessiore · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 28 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days |
| 92.00 |
| 215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1477.68 | 1368.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.40 | -21.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -1.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| league points | 39.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |