← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Cesena win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Cesena +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Giacomo Calò · Cesena |
| 41' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pierozzi · Palermo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Palermo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Niccolò Pierozzi · Palermo |
| 46' | ⚽ | Dario Šarić · Cesena |
| 53' | 🟨 | Matteo Piacentini · Cesena |
| 80' | 🟨 | Joseph Ceesay · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days |
| 307.00 |
| 337.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1442.76 | 1511.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.80 | 23.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 68.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 44.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |