← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Sampdoria win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Sampdoria +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 34' | 🟨 | Giacomo Quagliata · Catanzaro |
| 35' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Venuti · Sampdoria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gerard Yepes · Sampdoria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 47' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 50' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 63' | 🟥 | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 23 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days |
| 307.00 |
| 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.67 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1489.50 | 1433.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.90 | -27.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| league points | 48.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |