← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Juve Stabia win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟥 | Lorenzo Sgarbi · Juve Stabia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nicola Mosti · Juve Stabia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Luca D'Andrea · Brescia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kevin Piscopo · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yuri Rocchetti · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days |
| 123.00 |
| 673.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1428.27 | 1475.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.71 | 23.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 38.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.13 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |