← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.76 |
| Bari win | 29% | 3.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0.25 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Pisa +0.25 | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.55 |
| Over | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Bari |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 56' | 🟨 | Boris Radunović · Bari |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 67' | 🟨 | Costantino Favasuli · Bari |
| 73' | 🟨 | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| 337.00 |
| 307.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1463.42 | 1580.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.02 | 21.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| league points | 44.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |