← Serie B 2024-25 · Thu, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
| Sudtirol win | 16% | 6.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Sudtirol −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Frédéric Veseli · Sudtirol |
| 27' | ⚽ | Pietro Ceccaroni · Palermo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giangiacomo Magnani · Palermo |
| 47' | ⚽ | Antonio Barreca · Sudtirol |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Gabriele Gori · Sudtirol |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gabriele Gori · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicola Pietrangeli · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days |
| 334.00 |
| 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1524.90 | 1446.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.95 | -12.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.60 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 48.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 61.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 36.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -2.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -1.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |