← Serie B 2024-25 · Thu, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Crezzini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cosenza +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Cosenza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Giulio Maggiore · Bari |
| 36' | ⚽ | Mario Gargiulo · Cosenza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Christian Dalle Mura · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Ricciardi · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Favilli · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days |
| 61.00 |
| 334.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.19 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1367.17 | 1474.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.37 | -13.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| state index | -1.19 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |