← Serie B 2024-25 · Thu, May 1, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Catanzaro win | 29% | 3.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 23' | 🟨 | Matias Antonini · Catanzaro |
| 25' | ⚽ | Nicola Mosti · Juve Stabia |
| 31' | 🟨 | Filippo Pittarello · Catanzaro |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Varnier · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days |
| 670.00 |
| 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1460.78 | 1503.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.82 | -23.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.40 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| league points | 50.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |