← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Juve Stabia win | 28% | 3.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 42' | 🟨 | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 52' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Juve Stabia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Christian Pierobon · Juve Stabia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Sgarbi · Juve Stabia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 78' | ⚽ | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriele Gori · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days |
| 147.00 |
| 666.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1432.58 | 1475.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.40 | 33.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 35.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.03 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.70 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |