← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 38% | 2.63 |
| Palermo win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Palermo +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (og) | Federico Bonini · Palermo |
| 26' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 60' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pierozzi · Palermo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Catanzaro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jérémy Le Douaron · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days |
| 300.00 |
| 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.52 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1521.96 | 1506.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.22 | 9.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 69.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| league points | 48.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 15.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |