← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Cosenza win | 19% | 5.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Salernitana −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Cosenza |
| 43' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Salernitana |
| 50' | ⚽ | Tommaso Corazza · Salernitana |
| 56' | 🟨 | Fabio Ruggeri · Salernitana |
| 64' | ⚽ | Gian Marco Ferrari · Salernitana |
| 78' | ⚽ | Franco Tongya · Salernitana |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ajdin Hrustić · Salernitana |
| 82' | ⚽ | Massimo Zilli · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days |
| 24.00 |
| 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1408.37 | 1378.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.18 | -8.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| league points | 33.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.02 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |