← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Carrarese win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Carrarese +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Ernesto Torregrossa · Carrarese |
| 28' | 🟨 | Alessio Cragno · Sampdoria |
| 35' | 🟨 | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
| 46' | 🟨 | Stiven Shpendi · Carrarese |
| 54' | 🟨 | Bartosz Bereszyński · Sampdoria |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ronaldo Vieira · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| coach days |
| 480.00 |
| 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1441.29 | 1439.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.00 | -21.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| league points | 38.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 12.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |