← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Modena win | 27% | 3.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Modena +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Filippo Romagna · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 36' | ⚽ | Domenico Berardi · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 40' | 🟨 | Edoardo Iannoni · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 60' | ⚽ | Simone Santoro · Modena |
| 64' | ⚽ | Armand Laurienté · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Modena |
| 76' | ⚽ | Luca Moro · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 77' | 🟨 | Luca Moro · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 79' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zaro · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | US Sassuolo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days |
| 162.00 |
| 315.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1476.79 | 1627.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.04 | -6.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 41.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.91 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |