← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Cittadella win | 18% | 5.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Sampdoria −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Riccardo Palmieri · Cittadella |
| 26' | 🟨 | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Sampdoria |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 64' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Sibilli · Sampdoria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ebenezer Akinsanmiro · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 26 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days |
| 11.00 |
| 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1432.66 | 1395.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.78 | -7.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |