← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Sudtirol win | 23% | 4.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Salernitana −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 49' | ⚽ | Paolo Ghiglione · Salernitana |
| 60' | ⚽ | Gian Marco Ferrari · Salernitana |
| 63' | ⚽ | Nicola Pietrangeli · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mallamo · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 26 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days |
| 11.00 |
| 132.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1398.85 | 1442.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.37 | 4.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 30.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 62.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 35.80 |
| rest days | 6.81 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -2.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -2.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |