← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.15 |
| Reggiana win | 25% | 3.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Reggiana +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Luca Cigarini · Reggiana |
| 1' | 🟨 | Markus Solbakken · Pisa |
| 23' | ⚽ | Alexander Lind · Pisa |
| 29' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 40' | 🟨 | Elvis Kabashi · Reggiana |
| 44' | 🟨 | Gabriele Piccinini · Pisa |
| 44' | ⚽ | Matteo Tramoni · Pisa |
| 52' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Reggiana |
| 68' | 🟨 | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Reggiana |
| 80' | 🟨 | Francesco Bardi · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Henrik Wendel Meister · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days |
| 42.00 |
| 285.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 3.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1392.42 | 1556.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.24 | -9.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| league points | 32.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -1.05 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |