← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Cosenza win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Aldo Florenzi · Brescia |
| 38' | 🟥 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ante Matej Jurić · Brescia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Patrick Amiamo Nuamah · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cosenza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Massimo Zilli · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days |
| 42.00 |
| 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.98 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1378.77 | 1424.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.55 | -11.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 30.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |