← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Catanzaro win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Filippo Pittarello · Catanzaro |
| 33' | 🟨 | Julián Illanes · Carrarese |
| 43' | ⚽ | Luigi Cherubini · Carrarese |
| 54' | ⚽ | Mattia Compagnon · Catanzaro |
| 57' | 🟨 | Marco Imperiale · Carrarese |
| 65' | ⚽ | Filippo Pittarello · Catanzaro |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gabriele Guarino · Carrarese |
| 81' | ⚽ | Stiven Shpendi · Carrarese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Zanon · Carrarese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rares Ilie · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| coach days |
| 467.00 |
| 285.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1440.66 | 1522.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.36 | -25.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| league points | 37.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |