← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 11, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Bari win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bari +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Giulio Maggiore · Bari |
| 18' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
| 48' | 🟨 | Giangiacomo Magnani · Palermo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Costantino Favasuli · Bari |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Lund · Palermo |
| 89' | ⚽ | Lorenco Šimić · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| 314.00 |
| 314.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1477.70 | 1516.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.32 | 25.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 67.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 41.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |