← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 6, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
| Sampdoria win | 20% | 4.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.75 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Spezia −0.75 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Ronaldo Vieira · Sampdoria |
| 37' | 🟨 | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Spezia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Sampdoria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Bartosz Bereszyński · Sampdoria |
| 65' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Spezia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Alessandro Pio Riccio · Sampdoria |
| 73' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Spezia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Spezia |
| 85' | 🟥 | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Spezia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rémi Oudin · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 26 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days |
| 522.00 |
| 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.91 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1545.86 | 1441.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.52 | -15.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| league points | 55.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 8.82 | 8.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |