← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Palermo win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Armand Laurienté · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 18' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
| 25' | ⚽ (og) | Jeremy Toljan · Palermo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
| 48' | 🟨 | Giangiacomo Magnani · Palermo |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jeremy Toljan · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 73' | ⚽ | Nicholas Pierini · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 74' | ⚽ | Luca Moro · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 81' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | US Sassuolo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| 84' | ⚽ | Pedro Obiang · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| coach days |
| 309.00 |
| 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1497.30 | 1646.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.66 | 8.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.10 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| league points | 42.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 2.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.91 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |