← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Bari win | 29% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Kevin Lasagna · Bari |
| 44' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 69' | 🟨 | Boris Radunović · Bari |
| 69' | ⚽ | Federico Bonini · Catanzaro |
| 78' | ⚽ | Costantino Favasuli · Bari |
| 83' | ⚽ | Giacomo Quagliata · Catanzaro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrea Favilli · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days |
| 279.00 |
| 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1525.68 | 1474.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.09 | 0.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 46.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.18 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |