← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 42% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Salernitana win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Lilian Njoh · Salernitana |
| 30' | 🟨 | Davide Buglio · Juve Stabia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lilian Njoh · Salernitana |
| 44' | 🟥 | Lilian Njoh · Salernitana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Roberto Soriano · Salernitana |
| 53' | ⚽ | Niccolò Fortini · Juve Stabia |
| 78' | 🟥 | Alessandro Louati · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days |
| 644.00 |
| 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1464.27 | 1405.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.77 | -6.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 46.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |