← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Perri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Modena win | 23% | 4.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Pisa −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 27' | ⚽ | Simone Santoro · Modena |
| 35' | 🟨 | Cristian Cauz · Modena |
| 42' | 🟨 | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
| 50' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Modena |
| 64' | 🟨 | Adrian Rus · Pisa |
| 77' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Pisa |
| 84' | 🟨 | Markus Solbakken · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| 278.00 |
| 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1570.97 | 1462.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.55 | 3.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.69 |
| league points | 61.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.05 | 7.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |