← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Mantova win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Mantova −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Matthias Verreth · Brescia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Brignani · Mantova |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gabriele Calvani · Brescia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Mantova |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Lezzerini · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nicolò Radaelli · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days |
| 94.00 |
| 644.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1436.75 | 1433.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.13 | -14.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 34.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |