← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 4, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Reggiana win | 25% | 3.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Reggiana +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Cremonese |
| 36' | ⚽ (og) | Valentin Antov · Reggiana |
| 55' | ⚽ | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 75' | 🟨 | Charles Pickel · Cremonese |
| 77' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti · Reggiana |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charles Pickel · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟥 | Charles Pickel · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days |
| 34.00 |
| 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| elo | 1399.81 | 1552.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.81 | 5.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 63.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| state index | -0.89 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |