← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 30, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Arena
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Palermo win | 35% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Palermo +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Federico Zuccon · Salernitana |
| 40' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Amatucci · Salernitana |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alexis Blin · Palermo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Petar Stojanović · Salernitana |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Amatucci · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days |
| 88.00 |
| 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1415.20 | 1487.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.04 | 11.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 68.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 30.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 14.86 | 15.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |