β Serie B 2024-25 Β· Sun, Mar 30, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Juve Stabia win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia β0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Cesena β0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | β½ (og) | Massimiliano Mangraviti Β· Juve Stabia |
| 28' | π¨ | Giuseppe Leone Β· Juve Stabia |
| 45' | π¨ | Christian Pierobon Β· Juve Stabia |
| 47' | π¨ | Marco Bellich Β· Juve Stabia |
| 53' | β½ | Andrea Adorante Β· Juve Stabia |
| 57' | β½ | Cristian Shpendi Β· Cesena |
| 67' | π¨ | Danilo Quaranta Β· Juve Stabia |
| 70' | π¨ | Elayis Tavsan Β· Cesena |
| 85' | π¨ | Emanuele Adamo Β· Cesena |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days |
| 272.00 |
| 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1481.56 | 1451.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.19 | 0.88 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.68 |
| league points | 42.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |