← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 30, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Bari win | 30% | 3.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Bari +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 29' | 🟨 | Mehdi Dorval · Bari |
| 33' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Carrarese |
| 37' | ⚽ | Lorenco Šimić · Bari |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nosa Edward Obaretin · Bari |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ernesto Torregrossa · Carrarese |
| 51' | ⚽ | Gabriele Guarino · Carrarese |
| 60' | 🟨 | Lorenco Šimić · Bari |
| 85' | 🟨 | Manuel Cicconi · Carrarese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| coach days |
| 454.00 |
| 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1430.39 | 1484.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.09 | 10.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.76 |
| league points | 33.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |